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Bailouts make billions seem a lot smaller

NEW YORK - There's an old saying attributed to Everett Dirksen, the Illinois senator who dotted his speeches with colorful rants against government borrowing: A billion here, a billion there, and pretty soon you're talking real money.

Not these days, you're not.

The thicket of figures hurled at Americans since Wall Street began to melt down last month boggles the mind and crashes the calculator. We are utterly numb from numbers.

Bailout of the U.S. financial system: $700 billion. Sweeteners to get the bill through Congress: $140 billion. Federal loan to insurer AIG: $85 billion. John McCain government mortgage buyback proposal: $300 billion.

Billions and billions and billions and billions, tossed out there as quickly and casually as if by a Carl Sagan impersonator on speed. The Fed announced Wednesday it would loan AIG an additional $37.5 billion, and we hardly flinched.

It was not always this way. Five years ago, early in the Iraq war and about this time of year, the Bush administration infuriated opponents by calling for an additional $87 billion in war funding.

Yes, the $87 billion helped do in John Kerry, who voted for it before he voted against it. But the point was that $87 billion was a jaw-dropping amount. That Halloween, people actually wrote "$87 billion" on T-shirts and went as blank checks.

Now, in the Age of the Meltdown, the numbers we are asked to comprehend are so massive that it takes something even larger to get our attention.

Here's something: Between the stock market peak of Oct. 9, 2007, and exactly one year later - which is to say, encompassing the Wall Street free fall - $8.3 trillion was vaporized.

Write it out and it looks like a spill on the Cheerios aisle: $8,300,000,000,000.

And that's still less than the national debt: $10,200,700,000,000 and growing.

That's right: Trillion is the new billion.

How are we supposed to get our minds around all this? How are we to avoid an embarrassment worthy of Dr. Evil in the "Austin Powers" movies, who was cryogenically unfrozen after decades and gamely made the diabolical suggestion that he hold the world ransom for ... a puny $1 million?

(His evil advisers gently told him $1 million was not exactly a lot of money anymore. Come to think of it, even his second suggestion, a way more evil $100 billion, wouldn't raise an eyebrow on Wall Street now.)

Ronald Reagan had an idea. In 1981, to call attention to a national debt approaching $1 trillion, he asked Americans to imagine a stack of thousand-dollar bills 67 miles high.

Setting aside the limitations this posed in terms of both space travel and the availability of thousand-dollar bills, the comparison seems almost quaint. The national debt just passed $10 trillion - so big the additional front-end digit of "1'' cannibalized what used to be the dollar sign on the National Debt Clock in New York.

Another suggestion comes from John Allen Paulos, a professor of mathematics at Temple University and author of "A Mathematician Reads the Newspaper." He suggests thinking of the gobsmacking numbers in terms of time: 1 million seconds is about 11 1/2 days, 1 billion seconds 32 years, 1 trillion seconds 32,000 years.

Almost long enough for your 401(k) to recover.

"It might help to think of these quantities in terms of jail sentences," Paulos said in an e-mail interview.

OK, bad example.

And one small problem. While it is by far the most popular line ever attributed to Dirksen, there is no record anywhere that he ever actually said it, according to Frank H. Mackaman of the Dirksen Congressional Center in Pekin, Ill.

Oh, the senator hated excessive government debt, all right. He told stories about potholes and about cats trapped in wells. The moral: Never dig deeper to get out. He just didn't make that one famous quip.

No matter. The fact remains that whether it's the federal bailout or chaos in the market or new tax breaks, it's not just a billion here, a billion there anymore. We are definitely talking real money - trillions of it.

Comments

Posted by crzyscotish1 on October 13, 2008 at 6:43 a.m.

in response to FlatChooLance

The depression


Posted by christinehackman on October 13, 2008 at 7:14 a.m.

It almost makes the 10 billion a month
wasted in Iraq look like a charitable donation to the Salvation Army.
Shucks, that 10 billion every month could go to needy Wall St. bankers.


Posted by yellowhak1 on October 13, 2008 at 8:30 a.m.

in response to crzyscotish1

what comes after that? financial riot.


Posted by hawkeye on October 13, 2008 at 8:50 a.m.

in response to FlatChooLance

A Democrat in the White House and a substantial Democratic majority in Congress.


Posted by Northstate04 on October 13, 2008 at 9:02 a.m.

in response to hawkeye

Followed by another trillion or two in social programs.


Posted by yellowhak1 on October 13, 2008 at 11:41 a.m.

Nothing to see here folks! Maybe its not too late to join MOVEON.ORG


Posted by churn72 on October 13, 2008 at 1:12 p.m.

A Democrat started this mess,

September 30, 1999
Fannie Mae Eases Credit To Aid Mortgage Lending
By STEVEN A. HOLMES
In a move that could help increase home ownership rates among minorities and low-income consumers, the Fannie Mae Corporation is easing the credit requirements on loans that it will purchase from banks and other lenders.
The action, which will begin as a pilot program involving 24 banks in 15 markets -- including the New York metropolitan region -- will encourage those banks to extend home mortgages to individuals whose credit is generally not good enough to qualify for conventional loans. Fannie Mae officials say they hope to make it a nationwide program by next spring.
Fannie Mae, the nation's biggest underwriter of home mortgages, has been under increasing pressure from the Clinton Administration to expand mortgage loans among low and moderate income people and felt pressure from stock holders to maintain its phenomenal growth in profits.
In addition, banks, thrift institutions and mortgage companies have been pressing Fannie Mae to help them make more loans to so-called subprime borrowers. These borrowers whose incomes, credit ratings and savings are not good enough to qualify for conventional loans, can only get loans from finance companies that charge much higher interest rates -- anywhere from three to four percentage points higher than conventional loans.
''Fannie Mae has expanded home ownership for millions of families in the 1990's by reducing down payment requirements,'' said Franklin D. Raines, Fannie Mae's chairman and chief executive officer. ''Yet there remain too many borrowers whose credit is just a notch below what our underwriting has required who have been relegated to paying significantly higher mortgage rates in the so-called subprime market.


Posted by christinehackman on October 13, 2008 at 2:38 p.m.

in response to churn72

"Democrat started this mess"?

Once upon a time a bunch of dark skinned people arrived here to the land of milk and honey, on the good ship Lollipop.
They came here in hopes of finding cheap housing, and wouldn't you know it, they tricked a bunch of greedy bankers that eventually put the world's financial markets into a free fall.
Where were the immigration officials back then? Can we maybe blame them and reclaim all those houses, maybe even deport all these dark skinned interlopers? Would this make you happy?


Posted by churn72 on October 13, 2008 at 4:04 p.m.

Since when is a home an entitlement, should everbody have a government financed car too, so they can get to work? Nobody is owed a cheap house to own, just like the rest of us you rent and save.

Why don't you go live in a communist country for awhile where they supply everything for you, let us know how that goes. I will bet you don't find a lot dark skinned people waiting to get in there..in reply to christine


Posted by ambercita on October 13, 2008 at 4:20 p.m.

...once upon a time, people thought up several "creative" ways to spend money that wasn't there to support a lifestyle that was, shall we say...um, inflated. here's the thing though....entitlement never works...


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